10. Jo, D., Nault, B.A., Tilmes, S., Gettelman, A., McCluskey, C.,
Hodzic, A., Henze, D.K., Nawaz, M.O., Fung, K., Jimenez, J. Global Health and Climate
Effects of
Organic Aerosols from Different Sources. Environmental Science and Technology.
Accepted.
9. Nawaz, M.O., Henze, D.K., Huneeus, N.J., Osses, M., Álamos, N., Opazo, M., Gallardo, L.,
Sources of air pollution health impacts and
co-benefits of carbon neutrality in Santiago, Chile Journal of Geophysical Research:
Atmospheres. Accepted.
8. Gu, Y., Henze, D.K., Nawaz, M.O., Cao, H. Wagner, U.J., Sources of PM2.5-associated health
risks in
Europe
and
corresponding emission-induced changes during 2005-2015. GeoHealth 2023. DOI: 10.1029/2022GH000767
7. Nawaz, M.O., Henze, D.K., Anenberg, S.C., Ahn, D.Y., Goldberg, D.L., Tessum, C.W., Chafe,
Z.A., An assessment of the sources of air
pollution-related
health
impacts and benefits associated with improvements in travel efficiency as a function of distance of
policy implementation in fourteen US cities. Frontiers in Sustainable Cities. DOI: 10.3389/frsc.2023.1102493
6. Nawaz, M.O., Henze, D.K., Anenberg, S.C., Braun, C., Miller, J., Pronk, E. A source
apportionment and
emission scenario assessment of PM2.5- and O3-related health impacts in G20 countries.
GeoHealth.
DOI:
10.1029/2022GH000713.
5. Cao, H., Henze, D.K., Cady-Pereira, K., McDonald, B.C., Harkins, C., Sun, K., Bowman, K.W., Fu, T., Nawaz, M.O. COVID-19 Lockdowns Afford the First Satellite-Based Confirmation That Vehicles Are an Under-recognized Source of Urban NH3 Pollution in Los Angeles. Environmental Science & Technology Letters 2022. DOI: 10.1021/acs.estlett.1c00730
4. Nawaz, M.O., Henze, D.K., Harkins, C, Cao, H, Nault, B, Jo, D, Jimenez, J, Anenberg, SC,
Goldberg, DL,
Qu, Z. Impacts of sectoral, regional, species, and day-specific emissions on air pollution and
public
health in Washington, DC. Elementa: Science of the Anthropocene 2021. DOI:
10.1525/elementa.2021.00043
3. Malley, C.S., Hicks, W.K., Kulyenstierna, J.C., Michalopoulou, E., Molotoks, A., Slater, J.,
Heaps,
C.G., Ulloa, S., Veysey, J., Shindell, D.T., Henze, D.K., Nawaz, M.O., Anenberg, S.C.,
Mantlana,
B.,
Robinson, T.P. Integrated assessment of global climate, air pollution, and dietary, malnutrition and
obesity health impacts of food production and consumption between 2014 and 2018. Environmental
Research
Communications 2021. DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/ac0af9
2. Nault, B. A., Jo, D. S., McDonald, B. C., Campuzano-Jost, P., Day, D. A., Hu, W., Schroder, J.
C.,
Allan, J., Blake, D. R., Canagaratna, M. R., Coe, H., Coggon, M. M., DeCarlo, P. F., Diskin, G. S.,
Dunmore, R., Flocke, F., Fried, A., Gilman, J. B., Gkatzelis, G., Hamilton, J. F., Hanisco, T. F.,
Hayes, P. L., Henze, D. K., Hodzic, A., Hopkins, J., Hu, M., Huey, L. G., Jobson, B. T., Kuster, W.
C.,
Lewis, A., Li, M., Liao, J., Nawaz, M. O., Pollack, I. B., Peischl, J., Rappenglück, B.,
Reeves,
C.
E.,
Richter, D., Roberts, J. M., Ryerson, T. B., Shao, M., Sommers, J. M., Walega, J., Warneke, C.,
Weibring, P., Wolfe, G. M., Young, D. E., Yuan, B., Zhang, Q., de Gouw, J. A., and Jimenez, J. L.
Atmos.
Chem. Phys. 2021. Secondary organic aerosols from anthropogenic volatile organic compounds
contribute
substantially to air pollution mortality. DOI: 10.5194/acp-21-11201-2021, 2021.
1. Nawaz, M.O. & Henze, D.K. Premature Deaths in Brazil Associated With Long-Term Exposure to PM2.5 From Amazon Fires Between 2016 and 2019. GeoHealth 2020. DOI: 10.1029/2020GH000268
1. Gu, Y., Henze, D.K., Nawaz, M.O., Wagner, U.J. Response of the ozone-related health burden in Europe to changes in local anthropogenic emissions of ozone precursors. Under review.
1. Muralidharan, R., Zhang, Y., Nawaz, M.O., Tong, D.Q., van Donkelaar, A., Martin, R.V., Serre, M.L., West, J.J., Changes in mortality in response to decreases in PM2.5 and ozone concentrations across the United states from 1990 to 2020. In preparation.
Nawaz, M. O. (2023). An adjoint sensitivity framework for public health: the sources of air
pollution and their current and future impacts at both the urban and national scale.
Abstract: Air pollution exposure is responsible for millions of premature deaths each year.
This
large health burden is a concern of policymakers who design local- and national-level mitigation
actions
to improve air quality and health. Policies informed by an understanding of the sources that
contribute
to air pollution are better equipped to address this health burden. By characterizing the
relationships
between emissions, air pollution, and health impacts, emission reductions, including changes
associated
with decarbonization, can be linked to health benefits. Estimating the sources of air pollution and
assessing the impacts of emission changes presents a challenging research objective; air pollution
formation is complex, and precursor emissions undergo many physical and chemical processes in the
atmosphere. These research and policy challenges are profound; however, the potential societal
benefits
from addressing them are undeniable. Several approaches are developed that leverage remote-sensing
observations, air quality simulations, adjoint calculations, and state-of-the science health impact
assessment methods to characterize the sources of air pollution-related health impacts and to assess
how
changes in anthropogenic emission patterns could impact public health in the future. A second-order
contribution calculation is developed to better characterize the non-linear response of ozone to
nitrogen oxides. These approaches are applied to a number of different research questions. The air
pollution-related health impacts in Brazil associated with fires in the Amazon from 2016-2019 are
estimated. The sources associated with urban-scale air pollution-related health impacts in 14 US
cities
are identified and the benefits associated with radially applied mitigation measures are assessed.
Country-scale domestic and imported air quality health impacts are identified and benefits from
reductions in transportation and energy generation emissions are estimated. A new domain for the
chemical transport model GEOS-Chem and its adjoint is set-up for South America and the
decarbonization
air quality co-benefits in the city of Santiago, associated with Chile’s nationally determined
contributions as part of the Paris Climate Agreement, are estimated.